F9 1489 · IAH → LAS

departs 5:51 AM CT · arrives 7:08 AM PT

Forecast issued Fri 4:00 AM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?

28% chance · ±0 pts +15 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to LAS?

On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ F9's recent on-time record

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 19% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at IAH

Weather at each end

IAH (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling5,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LAS (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.14 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

F9 1489 · IAH → LAS

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAS?