Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 2142
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30
F9 2142 · PHX → DEN
departs 3:20 PM MT · arrives 6:16 PM MT
Forecast issued Wed 2:00 AM ET · 64h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 25%
Thu 10/29 39%
Fri 10/30
Sat 10/31 26%
Sun 11/1 38%
Mon 11/2 40%
Tue 11/3 34%
Odds over time
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
48%
chance · ±4 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
48%
Leave 15+ late
43%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.8d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed – in 24h
–
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Leave PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed – in 24h
–
43%
Yes 43%
No 57%
Arrive at DEN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed – in 24h
–
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DEN?
On time or early
52%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.5 in of rain forecast at PHX that day
↑
Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN
↓
DEN usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
PHX (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.54 in
DEN (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.