Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 2999
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30
F9 2999 · MDW → DFW
departs 3:39 PM CT · arrives 6:03 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 2:00 AM ET · 63h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 20%
Thu 10/29 30%
Fri 10/30
Sat 10/31 33%
Sun 11/1 25%
Mon 11/2 33%
Tue 11/3 25%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±9 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
27%
Arrive 1h+ late
11%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed – in 24h
–
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave MDW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed – in 24h
–
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed – in 24h
–
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late
↑
This flight has been late 33% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MDW
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW
Weather at each end
MDW (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
DFW (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 8,000 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.