Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 3383
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30
F9 3383 · SAN → SFO
departs 3:03 PM PT · arrives 4:52 PM PT
Forecast issued Wed 4:00 AM ET · 62h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 24%
Thu 10/29 33%
Fri 10/30
Sat 10/31 27%
Sun 11/1 48%
Mon 11/2 38%
Odds over time
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
35%
chance · ±4 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
35%
Leave 15+ late
37%
Arrive 1h+ late
19%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed – in 24h
–
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Leave SAN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed – in 24h
–
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Arrive at SFO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed – in 24h
–
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to SFO?
On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
10%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 62% of the time recently
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
3pm departures from SAN are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
SAN (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 3,400 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
SFO (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 10,667 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.