Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 3423
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30
F9 3423 · LGA → DFW
departs 8:37 PM ET · arrives 11:10 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 5:00 AM ET · 64h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 22%
Thu 10/29 39%
Fri 10/30
Sat 10/31 30%
Sun 11/1 63%
Mon 11/2 49%
Tue 11/3 42%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
46%
chance · ±7 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
46%
Leave 15+ late
47%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.9d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed – in 24h
–
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Leave LGA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 38% · changed – in 24h
–
47%
Yes 47%
No 53%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed – in 24h
–
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
53%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
8pm departures from LGA are often late
↑
This flight has been late 35% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW
Weather at each end
LGA (origin)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
DFW (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 8,000 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.