Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 3972
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30
F9 3972 · PHX → DFW
departs 4:12 PM MT · arrives 8:45 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 6:00 AM ET · 61h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 20%
Thu 10/29 37%
Fri 10/30
Sat 10/31 25%
Sun 11/1 32%
Mon 11/2 38%
Tue 11/3 27%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
50%
chance · ±6 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
50%
Leave 15+ late
48%
Arrive 1h+ late
19%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.8d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed – in 24h
–
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Leave PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 32% · changed – in 24h
–
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed – in 24h
–
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
49%
15–30 min late
20%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.5 in of rain forecast at PHX that day
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
4pm departures from PHX are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW
Weather at each end
PHX (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.63 in
DFW (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 8,000 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.