Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 4702
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30
F9 4702 · AUS → ATL
departs 12:05 PM CT · arrives 3:32 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 2:00 AM ET · 59h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 35%
Thu 10/29 33%
Fri 10/30
Sat 10/31 28%
Sun 11/1 38%
Mon 11/2 42%
Tue 11/3 39%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±1 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
27%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.5d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed – in 24h
–
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed – in 24h
–
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed – in 24h
–
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 46% of the time recently
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
12pm departures from AUS are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at AUS
Weather at each end
AUS (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 4,300 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
ATL (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.