Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 1045 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 30 Tomorrow

G4 1045 · RFD → PIE

departs 7:56 PM CT · arrives 11:39 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 6:00 AM ET · 39h before departure

Arrive at PIE more than 15 minutes late?

26% chance · ±2 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PIE?

On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into PIE at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 32% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at RFD

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PIE

Weather at each end

RFD (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PIE (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling4,800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 1045 · RFD → PIE

Odds over time

How late will it get to PIE?