Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 1104
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30
G4 1104 · EYW → PIT
departs 6:38 PM ET · arrives 9:38 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 7:00 AM ET · 60h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Fri 10/30
Mon 11/2 23%
Odds over time
Arrive at PIT more than 15 minutes late?
25%
chance · ±2 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
25%
Leave 15+ late
24%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PIT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed – in 24h
–
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Leave EYW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed – in 24h
–
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Arrive at PIT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed – in 24h
–
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PIT?
On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 26% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PIT
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at EYW
Weather at each end
EYW (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 5,800 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
PIT (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 8,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.