Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 116
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30 Tomorrow
G4 116 · SNA → MFR
departs 6:35 PM PT · arrives 8:45 PM PT
Forecast issued Thu 6:00 AM ET · 40h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at MFR more than 15 minutes late?
50%
chance · ±3 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
50%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MFR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Leave SNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at MFR more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to MFR?
On time or early
49%
15–30 min late
21%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 30% of the time recently
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MFR
Weather at each end
SNA (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 3,200 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.13 in
MFR (destination)
Gusts 5 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 0.5 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.