Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 1274
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30 Tomorrow
G4 1274 · SFB → AVL
departs 7:32 PM ET · arrives 9:10 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 6:00 AM ET · 38h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at AVL more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±1 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
37%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at AVL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave SFB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Arrive at AVL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to AVL?
On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
7pm departures from SFB are often late
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at AVL
Weather at each end
SFB (origin)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.04 in
AVL (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 6 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.