Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 143 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 30 Tomorrow

G4 143 · MFR → LAS

departs 9:24 PM PT · arrives 11:20 PM PT

Forecast issued Thu 6:00 AM ET · 42h before departure

Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±8 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LAS?

On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 39% of the time recently

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into LAS at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MFR

Weather at each end

MFR (origin) Gusts5 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precipnone

LAS (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 143 · MFR → LAS

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAS?