Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 1712
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30
G4 1712 · IDA → SNA
departs 2:23 PM MT · arrives 3:50 PM PT
Forecast issued Wed 4:00 AM ET · 60h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Fri 10/30
Mon 11/2 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at SNA more than 15 minutes late?
27%
chance · ±4 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
27%
Leave 15+ late
21%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.7d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed – in 24h
–
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Leave IDA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed – in 24h
–
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Arrive at SNA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed – in 24h
–
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SNA?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 34% of the time recently
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into SNA at that hour are often late
↓
IDA usually runs smoothly
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at IDA
Weather at each end
IDA (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
SNA (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 3,100 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.