Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 1872
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30 Tomorrow
G4 1872 · MCO → AVL
departs 9:27 PM ET · arrives 11:10 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 6:00 AM ET · 40h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at AVL more than 15 minutes late?
26%
chance · ±0 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
26%
Leave 15+ late
32%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at AVL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Arrive at AVL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to AVL?
On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
9pm departures from MCO are often late
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at AVL
↓
Gusts to 26 kt forecast at MCO that day
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling 3,833 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
AVL (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 6 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.