Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 2502 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 30 Tomorrow

G4 2502 · TTN → PGD

departs 6:43 PM ET · arrives 9:33 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 5:00 AM ET · 38h before departure

Arrive at PGD more than 15 minutes late?

21% chance · ±2 pts −5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PGD?

On time or early
78%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ This flight has been late 31% of the time recently

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at TTN

↓ Cloud base down to 900 ft forecast at PGD that day

Weather at each end

TTN (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PGD (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 2502 · TTN → PGD

Odds over time

How late will it get to PGD?