Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 2819
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30 Tomorrow
G4 2819 · SGF → SFB
departs 8:09 PM CT · arrives 11:36 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 6:00 AM ET · 39h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at SFB more than 15 minutes late?
44%
chance · ±4 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
44%
Leave 15+ late
44%
Arrive 1h+ late
25%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SFB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
44%
Yes 44%
No 56%
Leave SGF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 43% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
44%
Yes 44%
No 56%
Arrive at SFB more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SFB?
On time or early
55%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
20%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into SFB at that hour are often late
↑
This flight has been late 35% of the time recently
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SGF
Weather at each end
SGF (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 10,667 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
SFB (destination)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.04 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.