Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 2829
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30 Tomorrow
G4 2829 · BGR → SFB
departs 7:25 PM ET · arrives 10:49 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 6:00 AM ET · 37h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at SFB more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±4 pts
+7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
32%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SFB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave BGR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Arrive at SFB more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SFB?
On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into SFB at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
This flight has been late 29% of the time recently
↓
Other factors
↓
BGR is quiet at that time
Weather at each end
BGR (origin)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip none
SFB (destination)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.04 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.