Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 2884
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30 Tomorrow
G4 2884 · SYR → SFB
departs 8:50 PM ET · arrives 11:35 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 6:00 AM ET · 39h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at SFB more than 15 minutes late?
45%
chance · ±6 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
45%
Leave 15+ late
50%
Arrive 1h+ late
18%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SFB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 36% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
45%
Yes 45%
No 55%
Leave SYR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 42% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Arrive at SFB more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SFB?
On time or early
54%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 42% of the time recently
↑
Arrivals into SFB at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SYR
↓
SYR usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
SYR (origin)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
SFB (destination)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.04 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.