Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 2912
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30 Tomorrow
G4 2912 · ROA → SFB
departs 3:49 PM ET · arrives 5:48 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 5:00 AM ET · 35h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at SFB more than 15 minutes late?
39%
chance · ±1 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
39%
Leave 15+ late
47%
Arrive 1h+ late
19%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SFB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Leave ROA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 43% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
47%
Yes 47%
No 53%
Arrive at SFB more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SFB?
On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 48% of the time recently
↑
Arrivals into SFB at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
ROA is quiet at that time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ROA
Weather at each end
ROA (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
SFB (destination)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 3,833 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.04 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.