Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 2961
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30 Tomorrow
G4 2961 · CID → SFB
departs 7:15 PM CT · arrives 11:00 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 6:00 AM ET · 38h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at SFB more than 15 minutes late?
31%
chance · ±3 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
31%
Leave 15+ late
32%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SFB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Leave CID more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Arrive at SFB more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SFB?
On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
10%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into SFB at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
This flight has been late 22% of the time recently
↓
CID usually runs smoothly
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
CID (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 2,900 ft Visibility 9.66667 mi Precip 0.05 in
SFB (destination)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.04 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.