Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 2971
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30 Tomorrow
G4 2971 · LCK → SFB
departs 9:23 PM ET · arrives 11:35 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 6:00 AM ET · 39h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at SFB more than 15 minutes late?
44%
chance · ±4 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
44%
Leave 15+ late
51%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SFB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
44%
Yes 44%
No 56%
Leave LCK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 48% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
51%
Yes 51%
No 49%
Arrive at SFB more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SFB?
On time or early
55%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into SFB at that hour are often late
↑
This flight has been late 34% of the time recently
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LCK
↓
LCK is quiet at that time
Weather at each end
LCK (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
SFB (destination)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.04 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.