Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 3207
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30 Tomorrow
G4 3207 · SFB → ATW
departs 8:34 PM ET · arrives 10:45 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 6:00 AM ET · 39h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at ATW more than 15 minutes late?
35%
chance · ±1 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
35%
Leave 15+ late
38%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Leave SFB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 32% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Arrive at ATW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ATW?
On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
8pm departures from SFB are often late
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ATW
Weather at each end
SFB (origin)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.04 in
ATW (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.