Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 44 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Friday, October 30 Today

G4 44 · XNA → LAS

departs 11:12 PM CT · arrives 11:45 PM PT

Forecast issued Fri 3:00 PM ET · 9h before departure

Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?

61% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

What’s moving the odds

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↑ Arrivals into LAS at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at XNA

↓ 11pm departures from XNA are usually not late

Weather at each end

XNA (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LAS (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling4,100 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.03 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 44 · XNA → LAS

Odds over time