Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 4756
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30
G4 4756 · LIT → JAX
departs 12:24 PM CT · arrives 3:32 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 3:00 AM ET · 58h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at JAX more than 15 minutes late?
20%
chance · ±1 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
20%
Leave 15+ late
19%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at JAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed – in 24h
–
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Leave LIT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed – in 24h
–
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Arrive at JAX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed – in 24h
–
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to JAX?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
This route's recent record
↑
LIT is prone to delays
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LIT
↓
JAX usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
LIT (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 10,667 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
JAX (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.