Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 653
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30
G4 653 · FAR → AZA
departs 8:12 PM CT · arrives 9:32 PM MT
Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 70h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Fri 10/30
Sat 10/31 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at AZA more than 15 minutes late?
19%
chance · ±1 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
19%
Leave 15+ late
22%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.9d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at AZA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed – in 24h
–
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Leave FAR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed – in 24h
–
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Arrive at AZA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed – in 24h
–
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to AZA?
On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
AZA is prone to delays
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at FAR
↓
FAR usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
FAR (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
AZA (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.