Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 718
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30 Tomorrow
G4 718 · FSD → IWA
departs 3:11 PM CT · arrives 2:10 AM MSK
Forecast issued Thu 5:00 AM ET · 35h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at IWA more than 15 minutes late?
19%
chance · ±1 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
19%
Leave 15+ late
21%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at IWA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Leave FSD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Arrive at IWA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to IWA?
On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.3 in of rain forecast at IWA that day
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
FSD usually runs smoothly
↓
Arrivals into IWA at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
FSD (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 767 ft Visibility 9.33333 mi Precip none
IWA (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 6,333 ft Visibility 9.33333 mi Precip 0.31 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.