Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 897
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30 Tomorrow
G4 897 · PSM → PGD
departs 6:21 PM ET · arrives 9:46 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 5:00 AM ET · 37h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at PGD more than 15 minutes late?
20%
chance · ±3 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
20%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PGD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Leave PSM more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at PGD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PGD?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
PGD is prone to delays
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PSM
↓
Cloud base down to 900 ft forecast at PGD that day
Weather at each end
PSM (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 9,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
PGD (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 900 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.