Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 953
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30 Tomorrow
G4 953 · MCI → PGD
departs 5:28 PM CT · arrives 9:38 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 5:00 AM ET · 38h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at PGD more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±5 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PGD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave MCI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at PGD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PGD?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
This flight has been late 31% of the time recently
↓
MCI usually runs smoothly
↓
Cloud base down to 900 ft forecast at PGD that day
Weather at each end
MCI (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.20 in
PGD (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 900 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.