Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
GOJET · FLIGHT G7 4190
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30
G7 4190 · EWR → BUF
departs 9:21 PM ET · arrives 10:37 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 2:00 AM ET · 67h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 22%
Thu 10/29 35%
Fri 10/30
Odds over time
Arrive at BUF more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±1 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
33%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.9d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BUF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed – in 24h
–
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave EWR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed – in 24h
–
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Arrive at BUF more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed – in 24h
–
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BUF?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
EWR is prone to delays
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
9pm departures from EWR are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at EWR
↓
G7's recent on-time record
Weather at each end
EWR (origin)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
BUF (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 4,400 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.