G7 4554 · RIC → ORD

took off 8:12 AM ET · landed 9:02 AM CT (scheduled 7:56 AM ET → 9:05 AM CT)

Forecast issued Fri 9:00 AM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±1 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to ORD?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
✓
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late

↑ ORD is busy at that time

↑ RIC is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

↓ Visibility down to 2.5 mi forecast at RIC that day

Weather at each end

RIC (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility2.5 mi Precipnone

ORD (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G7 4554 · RIC → ORD

Odds over time

How late did it get to ORD?