G7 4600 · SGF → IAH

departs 6:11 AM CT · arrives 8:14 AM CT

Your aircraft is N561GJ (CRJ7), coming in as G7 4471 from IAH: landed 9:49 PM CT.

Forecast issued Fri 6:00 AM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?

9% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to IAH?

On time or early
91%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Arrivals into IAH at that hour are often late

↑ G7's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at IAH

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

SGF (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling8,333 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

IAH (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling5,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G7 4600 · SGF → IAH

Odds over time

How late will it get to IAH?