G7 4606 · ORD → RIC

departs 8:38 AM CT · arrives 11:43 AM ET

Forecast issued Fri 4:00 AM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at RIC more than 15 minutes late?

21% chance · ±0 pts +8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to RIC?

On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 8am departures from ORD are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↑ G7's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at RIC

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling8,333 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

RIC (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility2.5 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G7 4606 · ORD → RIC

Odds over time

How late will it get to RIC?