Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

JAPAN AIRLINES · FLIGHT JL 11 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 30

JL 11 · DFW → HND

departs 12:21 PM CT · arrives 3:05 PM JST

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 63h before departure

Arrive at HND more than 15 minutes late?

18% chance · ±3 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to HND?

On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 12pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↓ HND usually runs smoothly

↓ JL's recent on-time record

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

HND (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

JL 11 · DFW → HND

Odds over time

How late will it get to HND?