Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DENVER AIR CONNECTION · FLIGHT KG 3802 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 30

KG 3802 · DFW → GLH

departs 11:34 AM CT · arrives 12:59 PM CT

Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 62h before departure

Arrive at GLH more than 15 minutes late?

15% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to GLH?

On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 11am departures from DFW are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↑ DFW is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

↓ Arrivals into GLH at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling4,800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

GLH (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

KG 3802 · DFW → GLH

Odds over time

How late will it get to GLH?