Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DENVER AIR CONNECTION · FLIGHT KG 5882 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 30

KG 5882 · ORD → MKL

departs 4:50 PM CT · arrives 6:06 PM CT

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 68h before departure

Arrive at MKL more than 15 minutes late?

20% chance · ±4 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MKL?

On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 4pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ Other factors

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MKL

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MKL (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

KG 5882 · ORD → MKL

Odds over time

How late will it get to MKL?