Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

KLM · FLIGHT KL 616 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 30

KL 616 · PDX → AMS

departs 1:14 PM PT · arrives 6:39 AM CET

Forecast issued Tue 8:00 PM ET · 68h before departure

Arrive at AMS more than 15 minutes late?

9% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to AMS?

On time or early
90%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ 1pm departures from PDX are often late

↓ PDX usually runs smoothly

↓ Arrivals into AMS at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

PDX (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling3,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.04 in

AMS (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

KL 616 · PDX → AMS

Odds over time

How late will it get to AMS?