Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3384
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30
MQ 3384 · PHX → LBB
departs 7:04 PM MT · arrives 10:51 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 2:00 PM ET · 56h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 13%
Thu 10/29 30%
Fri 10/30
Sat 10/31 15%
Sun 11/1 21%
Mon 11/2 26%
Tue 11/3 24%
Odds over time
Arrive at LBB more than 15 minutes late?
56%
chance · ±7 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
56%
Leave 15+ late
40%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.9d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LBB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed – in 24h
–
56%
Yes 56%
No 44%
Leave PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed – in 24h
–
40%
Yes 40%
No 60%
Arrive at LBB more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed – in 24h
–
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to LBB?
On time or early
43%
15–30 min late
22%
30 min–1 hour late
20%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.8 in of rain forecast at PHX that day
↑
7pm departures from PHX are often late
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.7 in of rain forecast at LBB that day
Weather at each end
PHX (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 2,900 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.82 in
LBB (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 1.68 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.