MQ 3664 · ORD → BUF

departs 8:12 AM CT · arrives 10:54 AM ET

Your aircraft is N344JA (E170), coming in as MQ 3867 from GSP: landed 6:49 AM CT.

Forecast issued Fri 7:00 AM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at BUF more than 15 minutes late?

21% chance · ±0 pts −7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to BUF?

On time or early
97%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 8am departures from ORD are often late

↑ This flight has been late 25% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling8,333 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BUF (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling1,800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3664 · ORD → BUF

Odds over time

How late will it get to BUF?