MQ 3715 · DFW → TUL

departs 11:05 AM CT · arrives 12:24 PM CT

Your aircraft is N260NN (E170), coming in as MQ 3500 from LBB: landed 10:28 AM CT.

Forecast issued Fri 11:00 AM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at TUL more than 15 minutes late?

46% chance · ±0 pts +28 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to TUL?

On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
32%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 11am departures from DFW are often late

↑ DFW is busy at that time

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↓ Arrivals into TUL at that hour are usually not late

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling5,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.02 in

TUL (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling6,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.03 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3715 · DFW → TUL

Odds over time

How late will it get to TUL?