OH 5266 · GSO → PHL

departs 3:14 PM ET · arrives 4:52 PM ET

Forecast issued Fri 12:00 PM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?

31% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to PHL?

On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 33% of the time recently

↑ Arrivals into PHL at that hour are often late

↑ PHL is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHL

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at GSO

Weather at each end

GSO (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PHL (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility7 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5266 · GSO → PHL

Odds over time

How late will it get to PHL?