Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5312 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 30

OH 5312 · DFW → MOB

departs 9:03 PM CT · arrives 10:55 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 2:00 PM ET · 56h before departure

Arrive at MOB more than 15 minutes late?

18% chance · ±5 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MOB?

On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 9pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ OH's recent on-time record

↓ MOB usually runs smoothly

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MOB

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling3,533 ft Visibility7.66667 mi Precipnone

MOB (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5312 · DFW → MOB

Odds over time

How late will it get to MOB?