Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5340 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 30

OH 5340 · PHL → BNA

departs 5:28 PM ET · arrives 6:37 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 1:00 PM ET · 52h before departure

Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?

22% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BNA?

On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 5pm departures from PHL are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into BNA at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHL

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BNA

Weather at each end

PHL (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BNA (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5340 · PHL → BNA

Odds over time

How late will it get to BNA?