Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5594 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 30

OH 5594 · DFW → LEX

departs 2:28 PM CT · arrives 5:52 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 AM ET · 54h before departure

Arrive at LEX more than 15 minutes late?

22% chance · ±3 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LEX?

On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 2pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ This flight has been late 31% of the time recently

↑ OH's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LEX

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling4,667 ft Visibility5 mi Precipnone

LEX (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5594 · DFW → LEX

Odds over time

How late will it get to LEX?