Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3114
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30
OO 3114 · BUR → STS
departs 2:15 PM PT · arrives 3:50 PM PT
Forecast issued Wed 7:00 PM ET · 46h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 18%
Thu 10/29 23%
Fri 10/30
Sat 10/31 22%
Sun 11/1 29%
Mon 11/2 25%
Tue 11/3 21%
Odds over time
Arrive at STS more than 15 minutes late?
24%
chance · ±2 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
24%
Leave 15+ late
17%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.7d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at STS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Leave BUR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Arrive at STS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to STS?
On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
STS is prone to delays
↑
BUR is prone to delays
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BUR
↓
Cloud base down to 200 ft forecast at STS that day
Weather at each end
BUR (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 3,800 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
STS (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.