Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3123
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30
OO 3123 · MZT → LAX
departs 2:31 PM MST · arrives 5:19 PM PT
Forecast issued Wed 8:00 PM ET · 46h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 25%
Fri 10/30
Sat 10/31 19%
Mon 11/2 26%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±1 pts
+8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
31%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave MZT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Arrive at LAX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to LAX?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
LAX is prone to delays
↑
Arrivals into LAX at that hour are often late
↑
This route's recent record
↓
2pm departures from MZT are usually not late
Weather at each end
MZT (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.18 in
LAX (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.09 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.