Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3216
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30
OO 3216 · LAX → RDM
departs 2:21 PM PT · arrives 4:33 PM PT
Forecast issued Wed 8:00 PM ET · 45h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 15%
Thu 10/29 16%
Fri 10/30
Sun 11/1 20%
Mon 11/2 20%
Tue 11/3 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at RDM more than 15 minutes late?
19%
chance · ±2 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
19%
Leave 15+ late
25%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.7d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at RDM more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Leave LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Arrive at RDM more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to RDM?
On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
2pm departures from LAX are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
LAX is busy at that time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at RDM
↓
This flight has been late 10% of the time recently
Weather at each end
LAX (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.09 in
RDM (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 11,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.