Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3302
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30
OO 3302 · YYJ → SEA
departs 5:25 PM PDT · arrives 6:20 PM PT
Forecast issued Wed 11:00 PM ET · 45h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 28%
Fri 10/30
Sat 10/31 17%
Sun 11/1 25%
Mon 11/2 23%
Tue 11/3 24%
Odds over time
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±0 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
20%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave YYJ more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Arrive at SEA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SEA?
On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Other factors
↑
Arrivals into SEA at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Cloud base down to 1,300 ft forecast at YYJ that day
↓
5pm departures from YYJ are usually not late
Weather at each end
YYJ (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
SEA (destination)
Gusts 5 kt Ceiling 2,400 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.