Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3309
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30
OO 3309 · SAN → PHX
departs 1:31 PM PT · arrives 2:56 PM MT
Forecast issued Wed 5:00 PM ET · 48h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 29%
Thu 10/29 42%
Fri 10/30
Sat 10/31 36%
Sun 11/1 39%
Mon 11/2 40%
Tue 11/3 36%
Odds over time
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
56%
chance · ±0 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
56%
Leave 15+ late
47%
Arrive 1h+ late
21%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.7d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
56%
Yes 56%
No 44%
Leave SAN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed +15 pts in 24h
+15 pts
47%
Yes 47%
No 53%
Arrive at PHX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to PHX?
On time or early
43%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
23%
1–2 hours late
16%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.6 in of rain forecast at PHX that day
↑
1pm departures from SAN are often late
↑
Arrivals into PHX at that hour are often late
Weather at each end
SAN (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 3,400 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
PHX (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 2,900 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.59 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.