Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3346
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30
OO 3346 · MRY → SAN
departs 2:40 PM PT · arrives 4:15 PM PT
Forecast issued Wed 7:00 PM ET · 47h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 18%
Thu 10/29 18%
Fri 10/30
Sat 10/31 22%
Sun 11/1 27%
Mon 11/2 29%
Tue 11/3 24%
Odds over time
Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?
21%
chance · ±2 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
21%
Leave 15+ late
19%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.7d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Leave MRY more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Arrive at SAN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to SAN?
On time or early
78%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into SAN at that hour are often late
↑
SAN is prone to delays
↑
This flight has been late 28% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MRY
↓
MRY usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MRY (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
SAN (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 3,200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.