Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3346
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30
OO 3346 · SAN → MRY
departs 12:33 PM PT · arrives 2:06 PM PT
Forecast issued Wed 3:00 PM ET · 48h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 17%
Thu 10/29 27%
Fri 10/30
Sat 10/31 25%
Sun 11/1 34%
Mon 11/2 36%
Tue 11/3 28%
Odds over time
Arrive at MRY more than 15 minutes late?
28%
chance · ±1 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
28%
Leave 15+ late
33%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MRY more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Leave SAN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Arrive at MRY more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MRY?
On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
12pm departures from SAN are often late
↑
SAN is prone to delays
↑
Arrivals into MRY at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MRY
Weather at each end
SAN (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 3,400 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
MRY (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 3,767 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.